Eкономско планирање на туристичката побарувачка во Македонија

Petrevska, Biljana (2012) Eкономско планирање на туристичката побарувачка во Македонија. Годишен Зборник 2011, 3 (3). pp. 137-145. ISSN 1857-76-28

Text Економско планирање на туристичката побарувачка во Македонија.pdf Download (312kB)

Abstract

The concept of economic planning of tourism development could not be applied if forecasting of tourism demand is neglected. The importance of application of quantitative forecasting methods is enormous when dealing with projection of future tourism trends. In that respect, the method of Exponential Smoothing is applied through the following models: Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) and the Holt-Winters Smoothing (HWS). The forecast evaluation emphasized that the DES model is more accurate and, thus, recommended for forecasting the number of foreign tourists in Macedonia in the period 2009-2014.

Item Type:	Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Economic planning; Tourism; Tourism demand; Forecasting; Macedonia
Subjects:	Social Sciences > Economics and business Social Sciences > Other social sciences
Divisions:	Faculty of Tourism and Business Logistics
Depositing User:	Biljana Petrevska
Date Deposited:	19 Nov 2012 07:29
Last Modified:	19 Nov 2012 07:29
URI:	https://eprints.ugd.edu.mk/id/eprint/1077

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