Explaining Escalation: The Security Dilemma in Three Contemporary International Conflicts

Marolov, Dejan and Jordanka, Galeva (2026) Explaining Escalation: The Security Dilemma in Three Contemporary International Conflicts. Journal of Liberty and International Affairs, 12 (1). ISSN 1857 - 9760

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the security dilemma through a comparative qualitative study of three conflicts: Russia–Ukraine, Israel–Palestine, and Thailand–
Cambodia. Despite differences in geography, scale, and actors, all three cases show how mistrust, misperceptions, and defensive actions perceived
as offensive drive cycles of escalation. The Russia–Ukraine conflict illustrates a systemic dilemma, shaped by identity, sovereignty, spheres of
influence, and NATO expansion. The Israeli–Palestinian case highlights the limits of the framework in asymmetric conflicts, where overt hostility
reduces the role of misperception. The Thailand–Cambodia dispute demonstrates how symbolism and identity can escalate a minor territorial
dispute into a broader national conflict. Overall, the study confirms the security dilemma as a valuable explanatory tool in International Relations,
conditioned by identity, asymmetry, and hegemonic ambitions.

Item Type: Article
Subjects: Social Sciences > Law
Social Sciences > Political Science
Divisions: Faculty of Law
Depositing User: Dejan Marolov
Date Deposited: 21 Jan 2026 09:19
Last Modified: 21 Jan 2026 09:20
URI: https://eprints.ugd.edu.mk/id/eprint/37204

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