Strategic dilemma of the recent security paradigm adjusting the national ends, ways and means to prepare the militaries for hybrid warfare

Jovanovski, Zoran and Veljovski, Gjorgji (2017) Strategic dilemma of the recent security paradigm adjusting the national ends, ways and means to prepare the militaries for hybrid warfare. In: InternationaL Scientific Conference Impact of changes in Operational Environment on Preparation and Execution (Design) of Operations, 02-03 Nov 2017, Belgrade.

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Abstract

Abstract: Blending all available national assets to wage war is not a new concept. Integration of different ways and means for armed violence is a logical step for building flexibility, resilience and strength. However, the contemporary military thought leans toward accepting the hybridity as the warfare of the future. At first recognized as a virtue of the non state actors, it turned out that the hybrid warfare can be even more dangerous when initiated from state actors. Nations that aim to prepare against the unpredictable and ambiguous nature of hybrid warfare will certainly face a strategic dilemma. They will inevitably have to adjust their ends, ways and means to build diverse capabilities to deter simultaneous, wide range of threats. There are two general choices how to organize, equip and train the military for hybrid warfare: adapt either capability-based or threat-based planning. This is a harsh decision because the national defence policies affect the whole society. It will trigger completely different paths how the instruments of national power will be employed. Preparing alone against hybrid threats is undoubtedly more expensive solution than preparing as part of the collective defence system. It requires a much higher military budget and still not guarantees that it will be sufficient to build enough capabilities to counter all possible security threats. Tfie latter is less expensive solution to prepare for hybrid warfare, but have other side effects. It can have long term effects on the military organization and culture, limit national assets, trade or give up capabilities, become more dependent on foreign policies ect. Although still early to predict if the concept of hybrid warfare will trigger the next revolution in military affairs, the militaries that did not start focusing on hybridity are already late.

Key words: hybrid warfare, military, capabilities, strategy, doctrine.

Item Type:	Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Subjects:	Social Sciences > Law
Divisions:	Military Academy
Depositing User:	Zoran Jovanovski
Date Deposited:	23 Aug 2022 07:15
Last Modified:	23 Aug 2022 07:15
URI:	https://eprints.ugd.edu.mk/id/eprint/29955

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